📏 Estimate

Estimate gives you one real-world quantity each day — something countable but not obvious, like the number of keys on a piano or the height of a famous landmark — and asks for a single locked-in numeric guess. There are no second chances, so your instinct has to count.

1. Read today's question and the unit you should answer in.
2. Type your best numeric guess into the answer field.
3. Submit your guess — there is only one attempt per day.
4. See the real answer and how close your estimate landed.

Scoring

Your score is 100 minus a percentage penalty based on how far your guess is from the true answer relative to its size. An exact guess scores 100, and the score falls smoothly to 0 as your guess gets further away.

• Break the quantity into smaller, more familiar parts before guessing the whole.
• Round numbers are fine — the scoring rewards being close, not being precise to the digit.
• Think in orders of magnitude first: is this a number in the tens, hundreds or thousands?
• Trust a quick gut estimate over a long calculation you are unsure of.

Does everyone get the same Estimate question?

Yes. The question is generated from the game date and identical for every player that day.

Can I guess more than once?

No, Estimate allows a single locked-in guess per day, which is part of the challenge.

How is closeness scored?

The penalty scales with how far off your guess is as a percentage of the true answer, so small misses barely cost you.

Can I replay Estimate?

Your first submitted guess is saved as the daily result. A new scored question arrives at midnight US Eastern.